Weekly Predictions
Model Edge79% vs. 43%: that's the model-market gap on the Jacksonville Jaguars this week.Value PickThe model's case for the New York Giants: win percentage stands out more than the market's number reflects.Hot StreakDenver Broncos are on a 4-game winning streak heading into this week.Live Track RecordPicked before kickoff, the model has called 77 of 120 games this season (64%).Recent FormMike Gesicki has scored a TD in 5 of his last 5 games.Head-to-HeadThe Seattle Seahawks have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two teams.League LeadersThe Minnesota Vikings have the league's stingiest defense, allowing just 13.3 points per game.League LeadersThe Buffalo Bills have the league's most productive offense, averaging 33.3 points per game.StandingsThe Buffalo Bills are one of 3 teams tied for the league's best record at 6-1.Model ConfidenceThe model's most confident pick this week: the Seattle Seahawks at 79% (HIGH confidence).
Featured
See full stat leaders →This Week's Standouts
Last Week's #1 Picks — How They Did
Passing Yards
Matthew Stafford
195 YDS (picked at 327.8)
Passing TDs
Jared Goff
2 TD (picked at 2.4)
Rushing Yards
Kenneth Walker III
36 YDS (picked at 133)
Receiving Yards
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
150 YDS (picked at 119)
Passing Yards
Best passing yards average over their last 5 games (oldest → latest) — players with a game this week only
1
Joe Burrow
CIN · last 5 games
282428190292462
330.8
YDS/G
2
Kirk Cousins
LV · last 5 games
365243313295247
292.6
YDS/G
3
Jared Goff
DET · last 5 games
269412271303176
286.2
YDS/G
4
Jordan Love
GB · last 5 games
197367276274288
280.4
YDS/G
5
Drake Maye
NE · last 5 games
269374235321199
279.6
YDS/G